Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.020544 0.022204 0.023935 0.025875 0.027990 0.030229 0.032779
2025-10-05 0.017737 0.020106 0.022708 0.025784 0.029328 0.033292 0.038072
2025-10-12 0.016016 0.018810 0.022001 0.025927 0.030644 0.036147 0.043085
2025-10-19 0.014706 0.017773 0.021387 0.025980 0.031691 0.038594 0.047623
2025-10-26 0.013628 0.016875 0.020805 0.025943 0.032522 0.040720 0.051795
2025-11-02 0.012739 0.016115 0.020301 0.025909 0.033284 0.042728 0.055862
2025-11-09 0.011803 0.015215 0.019535 0.025453 0.033420 0.043877 0.058806
2025-11-16 0.010986 0.014408 0.018823 0.024994 0.033485 0.044883 0.061559
2025-11-23 0.010406 0.013869 0.018421 0.024906 0.034014 0.046510 0.065225
2025-11-30 0.009846 0.013321 0.017966 0.024702 0.034348 0.047853 0.068529
2025-12-07 0.009364 0.012850 0.017583 0.024565 0.034748 0.049283 0.072014
2025-12-14 0.008903 0.012380 0.017171 0.024353 0.035011 0.050507 0.075233
2025-12-21 0.008521 0.012018 0.016915 0.024383 0.035674 0.052423 0.079741
2025-12-28 0.008122 0.011614 0.016579 0.024277 0.036131 0.054060 0.083938
2026-01-04 0.007823 0.011337 0.016411 0.024407 0.036944 0.056275 0.089188
2026-01-11 0.007526 0.011046 0.016202 0.024456 0.037622 0.058302 0.094245
2026-01-18 0.007229 0.010740 0.015952 0.024421 0.038153 0.060110 0.099037
2026-01-25 0.006955 0.010453 0.015716 0.024389 0.038679 0.061925 0.103942
2026-02-01 0.006606 0.010033 0.015251 0.023963 0.038527 0.062596 0.106879
2026-02-08 0.006279 0.009634 0.014800 0.023534 0.038340 0.063185 0.109690
2026-02-15 0.006052 0.009381 0.014568 0.023451 0.038728 0.064768 0.114387
2026-02-22 0.005816 0.009103 0.014282 0.023260 0.038914 0.066002 0.118508
2026-03-01 0.005607 0.008860 0.014041 0.023132 0.039198 0.067414 0.123042